Special to
ABCNEWS.com David Melville is an eccentric physicist
and thinker, and a friend of mine. Hes also terrified. Melville is preoccupied with what he
regards as the most dangerous event in human history: an experiment,
scheduled for November, at the Brookhaven National Laboratory in Upton,
N.Y. Brookhaven has a device, called the Relativistic Heavy Ion Collider,
that has the worlds physicists tremendously excited. Scientists believe
they can use the collider to duplicate the conditions that prevailed
milliseconds after the Big Bang, when the universe consisted of a
primordial soup called the quark-gluon plasma. Brookhaven scientists think
that by colliding gold ions at extremely high speed, they can create a
tiny, fleeting version of quark-gluon plasma to gain a better
understanding of the origins of the universe.
Sounds like fun. The only problem, according to David Melvilles panicky
e-mail, is that, It has been theorized by Steven Hawking that from this
quark-gluon plasma other forms of matter are also produced. The most
dangerous being a black hole.
Consumed From the
Inside Out All I know about black holes is that they have
zero volume and infinite density. They sit in deep space, trapping
everything that comes near enough (crossing inside whats known as the
Schwarzschild radius) and letting nothing escape, even light.
So I am perplexed. What happens if you create
one in a laboratory? Melville says he
believes it would be microscopic at first but would grow exponentially,
eventually obliterating Earth. The black hole would first eat its way
down toward the center of Earth and consume from the inside out. It would
not be a good time to be around to see this. In the end ALL of Earth would
be consumed. When I started looking into
this, I was stunned to find that other physicists are speculating along
the same lines as Melville. The July 1999 Scientific American
contains letters debating the possibility Melville raises, and the
July 18 Sunday Times of London reported on and editorialized
against the experiment, which it considers frighteningly dangerous. So
its not just paranoid physicists and rogue journalists concerned about
the RHIC. Hoping to forestall the end of the
world, I contacted Brookhaven immediately. We certainly do not wish to
destroy the earth, sniffed spokeswoman Diane Greenberg, who clearly has
been fielding plenty of questions like mine. Then she sent me a statement
by Brookhaven Lab Director John Marburger, entitled On Consequences of
RHIC Operations. The amount of matter
involved in the RHIC collisions is exceedingly small only a single pair
of nuclei is involved in each collision, Marburger states. Our universe
would have to be extremely unstable in order for such a small amount of
energy to cause a large effect. On the contrary, the universe appears to
be quite stable against releases of much larger amounts of energy that
occur in astrophysical processes. RHIC
collisions will be within the spectrum of energies encompassed by
naturally occurring cosmic radiation. The earth and its companion objects
in our solar system have survived billions of years of cosmic ray
collisions with no evidence of the instabilities that have been the
subject of speculation in connection with RHIC.
Playing at
God Why am I not reassured by this? The short answer is that
the experiment is conducted by human beings the same folks who brought
you the internal combustion engine, which threatens to destabilize the
planets climate, and powerful antibiotics, which ultimately created an
invincible staphylococcus bacterium. In other words, technopride goeth
before the fall. The longer answer is that
Melvilles scenario is perversely seductive in a Kubrickian sort of way.
Think of Dr. Strangelove and 2001: A Space Odyssey. There
are few things quite as persuasive as the vision of humans, their thirst
for knowledge and progress insatiable, stumbling on a way to destroy the
planet. It is an end-of-the-world scenario that has launched a thousand
movie scripts. Human progress has always had
a nasty habit of producing unintended consequences usually because the
prideful progenitors of progress insist on pooh-poohing any possibility of
danger. Now, in recreating the beginning of the universe, we are
essentially playing at being God an unforgivable offense, punishable, as
tragedians in the Bible and other literature have prophesied for
centuries, by annihilation.
The Doomsday
Machine This Doomsday scenario dovetails creepily with the
speculation put forth by the late Carl Sagan in his book Cosmos.
Sagan believed that we could never find evidence of life anywhere else in
the universe because the pattern of evolution has been the same
everywhere: Life begins and evolves through millions of years to the
moment when it destroys itself. The nature of consciousness is such that
evolution itself is a doomsday machine. Sagan
considered nuclear war the likeliest cause of destruction, but the
creation of an annihilating black hole is more plausible. Not only does it
explain the apparent absence of life anywhere else in the universe, it
also explains the absence of any ruins of past civilizations. A black hole
removes all traces of everything including of the creating
civilizations planet. So why am I telling
you this? Melvilles message to me ends. I think this should be brought
out into the general publics view. For once, maybe once in the history of
the universe, we can avoid THE END. Have a nice day. 
Fred Moody is the author of I Sing the Body
Electronic: A Year with Microsoft on the Multimedia Frontier and of
The Visionary Position: The Inside Story of the Digital Dreamers Who
Made Virtual Reality a Reality. His column appears on alternate
Wednesdays.
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S U
M M A R Y
 The hubris of trying to replicate the universe just after the
Big Bang could have catastrophic consequences.
Scientific
American contains letters debating the black-hole possibility, and the
London Sunday Times has editorialized against the experiment, which
it considers frighteningly dangerous.
A R C H I V
E  Read Fred
Moodys past columns
W E B
L I N K S
 Ion Collider
 Microcosmic Bang
 RHIC
 RHIC Experiments
 Physical Review Focus

For once,
maybe once in the history of the universe, we can avoid THE END. Have a
nice day. Physicist David Melville
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